Introduction

Since the historic collapse of the Terra ecosystem in May 2022, Terra Classic has been striving to rebuild itself on new foundations.
The native token, now known as Luna Classic (LUNC), remains at the heart of the community’s hopes for recovery.

With the ongoing legal proceedings against Do Kwon, the release of the official EUTC Plan Whitepaper, and a highly volatile global economic environment, Terra Classic stands at a pivotal crossroads.

In this article, we analyze:

• The likely evolution of Luna Classic (LUNC) price without the implementation of the EUTC Plan;
• And its evolution with the EUTC Plan fully activated.

I. Background: The Tumultuous History of Terra Classic

The 2022 Crash: A Catastrophe for LUNC

Before May 2022, Terra (LUNA) ranked among the top 10 cryptocurrencies worldwide.
The sudden collapse of the UST stablecoin triggered a devastating chain reaction:

• Hyperinflation of LUNA in a desperate attempt to re-peg UST;
• A price crash from $80 to $0.0001 within days;
• Rebranding of the old LUNA into Luna Classic (LUNC).

Post-Crash Rebuilding: A Difficult Journey

Since the crash, Terra Classic has been carried by a highly committed community, but faces major challenges:

• A massive LUNC supply (over 5.8 trillion tokens);
• Decreasing trading volumes outside speculative periods;
• A long road ahead to restore external trust.

The Do Kwon trial, still ongoing as of 2025, continues to weigh heavily on the project’s global perception.

II. Current Status of Luna Classic in 2025

As of April 2025:

• LUNC price: approximately $0.00006408;
• Supply: slightly reduced to approximately 5.75 trillion tokens;
• Onchain burn tax: 0.5%;
• Binance burn tax: 0.1%.

Despite an active community and a consistent burn mechanism, the reduction in circulating supply remains too slow to drive a significant upward price movement without introducing new strong utility mechanisms.

III. New Macroeconomic Challenges in 2025

1. Donald Trump’s Re-Election and Protectionist Economic Policies

Donald Trump was re-elected President of the United States in November 2024.
Since taking office in early 2025, he has launched ultra-protectionist economic policies:

• Massive increases in import tariffs;
• Tariffs exceeding 200% on many Chinese goods;
• Global trade tensions rising sharply between the U.S., Europe, and Asia.

Global Impact:

• Global inflation driven by higher import costs;
• Slowdown in international trade;
• Increased search for decentralized financial alternatives, boosting interest in cryptocurrencies.

2. Intensification of Geopolitical Conflicts

• Russia-Ukraine war: no lasting peace agreement, continued escalation in Eastern Europe;
• Israeli-Palestinian conflict: resumed military actions in 2024, destabilizing the Middle East;
• Growing systemic risks impacting global stability.

3. Crypto Markets: Between Volatility and Opportunity

This 2025 context leads to:

• Increased market volatility across traditional and crypto markets;
• A growing search for resilient blockchain projects offering stability, collateralization, and financial sovereignty.

Terra Classic, through the deployment of the EUTC, could position itself as a credible alternative amidst global uncertainty.

IV. Scenario 1: LUNC Price Without the EUTC Plan by 2028

Hypotheses

• Current burn taxes maintained (0.5% onchain, 0.1% Binance).
• No major innovations boosting LUNC utility.
• Ongoing external market uncertainty.

Expected Evolution

Factor	Estimate
LUNC burned over 3 years	300-500 billion
Remaining supply by 2028	5.3–5.5 trillion
Estimated price	$0.0001–$0.00025

Analysis

Even with the burn tax, Luna Classic‘s massive supply would persist.
Without new utility creation, LUNC would remain mostly speculative, heavily dependent on overall crypto market cycles.

Likely outcome: Market cap stagnating between $700 million and $1.2 billion.

V. Scenario 2: LUNC Price With the EUTC Plan by 2028

Overview of the EUTC Plan

The official EUTC Plan Whitepaper was released in early 2025.
It proposes:

• A collateralized stablecoin (EUTC);
• Direct support for liquidity pools by absorbing LUNC;
• – Strengthening the internal economy of Terra Classic.

Hypotheses

• 2% to 5% of LUNC supply absorbed through liquidity pools;
• Trading volume doubled or quadrupled;
• Renewed interest from investors and developers.

Expected Evolution

Factor	Estimate
LUNC burned over 3 years	400–600 billion
Remaining supply by 2028	5.2–5.4 trillion
Estimated price	$0.0003–$0.0007

In an optimistic adoption scenario, reaching $0.001 could become a realistic mid-term target.

Analysis

The EUTC Plan would serve as a powerful catalyst by:

• Reducing floating LUNC supply;
• Creating real economic utility for LUNC;
• Rebuilding external confidence in the Terra Classic ecosystem.

VI. Comparative Table

Criteria	Without EUTC (2028)	With EUTC (2028)
Estimated price	$0.0001–$0.00025	$0.0003–$0.0007
Supply in circulation	5.3–5.5 trillion	5.2–5.4 trillion
Estimated market cap	$700M–$1.2B	$2B–$4B
Economic dynamics	Stagnant	Growing
Real LUNC utility	Low	High

VII. Key External Factors to Monitor

Besides internal Terra Classic developments, LUNC’s future depends on:

• The outcome of Do Kwon’s trial;
• Global geopolitical tensions;
• U.S. economic policies and trade wars.

Conclusion

Today, the Terra Classic community holds a historic opportunity with the EUTC Plan.
By building a stable and transparent economic infrastructure, Terra Classic could establish itself as a serious decentralized alternative in a fragmented global economy.

Without innovation, LUNC risks remaining trapped in the past.
With innovation, it could write its rebirth story.

Further Resources

• [Discover the Official EUTC Plan Whitepaper]
• [The EUTC Plan: A Hybrid and Sustainable Repeg Strategy for USTC on Terra Classic]
• [Fundamental LUNC Analysis – Coinmarketcap]
• [Terra Classic Data – LUNCMetrics.com]
• [Terra Finder – Terra Money Classic Explorer]
• [Reuters -US Election 2024]
• [Bloomberg News – U.S.-China Trade War escalation 2025]
• [Al Jazeera – Conflict updates]
• [The Guardian – Ukraine War Tracker]